SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
40.01% ( 6.22) | 27.62% ( -0.37) | 32.37% ( -5.85) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.78% ( 1.13) | 57.21% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.93% ( 0.89) | 78.07% ( -0.89) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( 4.38) | 27.97% ( -4.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.39% ( 5.25) | 63.61% ( -5.25) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -3.19) | 32.74% ( 3.19) |
