Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
