Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
