Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
