SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 91.87%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 2.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.14%) and 2-0 (11.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.91%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 0-1 (0.82%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
91.87% ( -0.28) | 6.11% ( 0.18) | 2.01% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 35.14% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.29% ( -0.38) | 23.71% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.79% ( -0.5) | 43.21% ( 0.49) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.15% ( -0.09) | 2.85% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 87.01% ( -0.32) | 12.99% ( 0.32) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.17% ( 0.39) | 63.83% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 7.51% ( 0.17) | 92.49% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 3-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.11)6-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)7-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)8-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.85% Total : 91.86% | 1-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 6.11% | Other @ 2.01% Total : 2.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 75 | 60 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 22 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Airbus UK BroughtonAirbus UK | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 66 | -53 | -2 |
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