SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
36.9% ( 0.57) | 22.87% ( -0.2) | 40.22% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 65.79% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.75% ( 1.1) | 35.25% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.73% ( 1.21) | 57.26% ( -1.21) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 0.77) | 19.63% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.4% ( 1.23) | 51.6% ( -1.23) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( 0.31) | 18.14% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.9% ( 0.52) | 49.1% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airbus UK Broughton | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.95% Total : 40.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 75 | 60 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 22 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Airbus UK BroughtonAirbus UK | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 66 | -53 | -2 |
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