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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for The New Saints in this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
73.27% ( 0.22) | 16.27% ( -0.12) | 10.46% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63% ( 0.28) | 36.99% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.82% ( 0.3) | 59.18% ( -0.3) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.27% ( 0.12) | 8.72% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70% ( 0.29) | 30% ( -0.29) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.47% ( 0) | 44.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.45% ( 0) | 80.55% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 73.26% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.27% | 0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 22 | 23 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 21 |
| 3 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Bala TownBala Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
| 11 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 4 |
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