SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
41.04% ( -0.22) | 24.85% ( 0.09) | 34.11% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.64% ( -0.4) | 45.36% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.3% ( -0.39) | 67.7% ( 0.39) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0.28) | 22.07% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.58% ( -0.43) | 55.42% ( 0.43) |
| Airbus UK Broughton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.12) | 25.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.3% ( -0.16) | 60.7% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Airbus UK Broughton |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 75 | 60 |
| 2 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 41 |
| 4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 40 |
| 6 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 22 |
| 11 | Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
| 12 | Airbus UK BroughtonAirbus UK | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 66 | -53 | -2 |
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