Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Airbus UK Broughton win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.