Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth Town - Welsh Premier League - November 4, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Maes Tegid

Venables (20'), Peate (34'), Evans (52' og.)
Peate (36')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bala Town 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Flint Town
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala Town	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
58.18% ( -0.07)	22.97% ( 0.09)	18.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.86% (

-0.42)

49.14% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.79% (

-0.38)

71.21% (

0.37)

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.4% (

-0.17)

16.6% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.59% (

-0.31)

46.41% (

0.3)

Aberystwyth Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.87% (

-0.27)

40.12% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.23% (

-0.25)

76.77% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Bala Town 58.17%

Aberystwyth Town 18.85%

Draw 22.96%

Bala Town	Draw	Aberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 58.17%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.85%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	The New Saints New Saints	19	16	3	0	69	6	63	51
2	Connah's Quay Nomads Connah's Quay	19	13	3	3	32	12	20	42
3	Bala Town Bala Town	19	11	3	5	39	18	21	36
4	Cardiff MU Cardiff MU	20	11	2	7	24	28	-4	35
5	Pen-y-Bont Pen-y-Bont	19	9	5	5	26	18	8	32
6	Newtown AFC Newtown	20	10	2	8	41	36	5	32
7	Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest	20	7	3	10	26	31	-5	24
8	Caernarfon Town Caernarfon	19	7	1	11	28	34	-6	22
9	Flint Town United Flint Town	19	5	5	9	18	27	-9	20
10	Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd	20	6	2	12	21	35	-14	20
11	Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth	19	6	0	13	20	53	-33	18
12	Airbus UK Broughton Airbus UK	19	0	1	18	12	58	-46	-2

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

Aberystwyth Town

Data Analysis

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