Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.29) 
