Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
26.43% ( -0) | 22.52% ( -0) | 51.05% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.48% ( 0) | 38.52% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.18% ( 0) | 60.82% ( -0) |
Zorya Luhansk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( 0) | 27.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% | 62.8% ( 0) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% ( 0) | 15.29% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56% ( 0.01) | 44% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
2-1 @ 6.6% 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
4 | Dynamo Kiev | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 56 |
5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 38 |
8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 33 |
9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 32 |
10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 31 |
11 | Minai | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 30 |
12 | Veres | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 28 |
13 | Rukh Lviv | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 28 |
14 | Inhulets | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 28 |
15 | Metal Kharkiv | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 22 |
16 | FC LvivLviv | 28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 49 | -31 | 13 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: