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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 20, 2020 at 3pm UK
Slavutych-Arena
SD
Luhansk
2 - 2
Shakhtar
Kochergin (20'), Yurchenko (28' pen.)
Favorov (73'), Grechkin (81'), Kochergin (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Marlos (17'), Krivtsov (49')
Dodo (29'), Marlos (30'), Krivtsov (44'), Stepanenko (57')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawShakhtar Donetsk
41.14%25.28%33.58%
Both teams to score 56.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6%47.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38%69.61%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09%22.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33%56.66%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94%27.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58%62.42%
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 41.14%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 33.58%
    Draw 25.28%
Zorya LuhanskDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.2%
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.1%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 33.58%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar27206162194366
2Dnipro-1Dnipro-128204460243664
3Zorya LuhanskLuhansk27194459283161
4Dynamo Kiev27165644242053
5FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya28101354237543
6Vorskla PoltavaVorskla28116113436-239
7Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi27105122229-735
8Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka2796122231-933
9Metalist Kharkiv2761292239-1730
10Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets2778123037-729
11Minai2778122029-929
12Veres2877143442-828
13Rukh Lviv2769122836-827
14Inhulets2776142033-1327
15Metal Kharkiv2757152651-2522
16FC LvivLviv2734201848-3013
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