Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
Result | ||
Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Inhulets |
61.88% ( -0.1) | 21.34% ( 0.09) | 16.78% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.44% ( -0.39) | 45.56% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.11% ( -0.38) | 67.88% ( 0.38) |
Zorya Luhansk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.82% ( -0.16) | 14.18% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.13% ( -0.31) | 41.87% ( 0.31) |
Inhulets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( -0.23) | 40.45% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( -0.21) | 77.06% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Inhulets |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 61.87% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.33% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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