SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
34.58% ( -0.94) | 23.46% ( 0.04) | 41.96% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( -0.39) | 38.62% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.07% ( -0.41) | 60.92% ( 0.41) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.67) | 22.34% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( -1.02) | 55.82% ( 1.02) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( 0.23) | 18.81% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( 0.39) | 50.23% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.38% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
