SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | St Gallen |
46.96% ( -0.25) | 24.65% ( 0.19) | 28.38% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( -0.8) | 46.85% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( -0.76) | 69.1% ( 0.76) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.43) | 20.02% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0.69) | 52.22% ( 0.7) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.37) | 30.25% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -0.44) | 66.42% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | St Gallen |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.96% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 28.38% |
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