Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
FC Winterthur	Draw	Lugano
26.03%	23.61%	50.36% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.33% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.08% (

-0)

43.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

-0)

66.3%

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

-0)

30.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29% (

-0)

66.7%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47% (

-0)

17.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96% (

-0)

48.03%

Score Analysis

FC Winterthur 26.03%

Lugano 50.36%

Draw 23.61%

FC Winterthur	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 6.56% 1-0 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 3% Total : 26.03%	1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.36%