SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Basel win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Lugano has a probability of 33.75% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Lugano win is 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.59%).
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Basel |
33.75% ( -1.06) | 23.51% ( -0.4) | 42.74% ( 1.45) |
| Both teams to score 62.61% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% ( 1.67) | 39.1% ( -1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.57% ( 1.73) | 61.43% ( -1.74) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( 0.2) | 23.01% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( 0.29) | 56.82% ( -0.3) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( 1.32) | 18.67% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.99% ( 2.18) | 50% ( -2.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.47)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.75% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.54% Total : 42.74% |
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