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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
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Lugano
2 - 1
Winterthur

Koutsias (50', 56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luthi (85')
Jankewitz (66'), Sidler (72')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lugano 5-4 Celje (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Yverdon Sport 2-1 Winterthur
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lugano win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw has a probability of 18% and a win for FC Winterthur has a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.38%), while for a FC Winterthur win it is 1-2 (3.82%).

Result
LuganoDrawFC Winterthur
68.81% (-0.114 -0.11) 17.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 13.24% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.181 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.57% (0.105 0.11)37.43% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.35% (0.112 0.11)59.65% (-0.111 -0.11)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.74% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (0.2 0.2)40.18% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (0.18 0.18)76.82% (-0.179 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 68.8%
    FC Winterthur 13.24%
    Draw 17.95%
LuganoDrawFC Winterthur
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.21% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 68.8%
1-1 @ 8.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.95%
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.65% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 13.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lugano 5-4 Celje (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Sion 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, March 9 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Celje 1-0 Lugano
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 0-3 FC Zurich
Sunday, March 2 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Young Boys 1-0 Lugano
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-0 Luzern
Saturday, February 15 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Yverdon Sport 2-1 Winterthur
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Winterthur 4-0 St Gallen
Saturday, March 1 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Servette 3-1 Winterthur
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Winterthur 1-0 Young Boys
Saturday, February 15 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 3-2 Winterthur
Sunday, February 9 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Winterthur 0-2 FC Zurich
Thursday, February 6 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League


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