SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Zurich |
25.34% ( 0.59) | 24.07% ( 0.27) | 50.59% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( -0.64) | 46.52% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( -0.6) | 68.79% ( 0.61) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.14) | 32.43% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% ( 0.16) | 68.95% ( -0.16) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( -0.57) | 18.42% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% ( -0.97) | 49.58% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.34% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.59% |
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