SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | St Gallen |
35.96% ( 0.05) | 26.06% ( 0.09) | 37.98% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( -0.41) | 50.47% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( -0.36) | 72.39% ( 0.36) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -0.16) | 27.09% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( -0.21) | 62.47% ( 0.21) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( -0.27) | 25.94% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.05% ( -0.36) | 60.94% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | St Gallen |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.96% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.98% |
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