SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | SPAL |
49.08% ( 1.92) | 25.39% ( -0.05) | 25.53% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% ( -1.06) | 51.85% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( -0.92) | 73.6% ( 0.92) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( 0.4) | 21.14% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46% ( 0.62) | 53.99% ( -0.62) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( -2.08) | 35.14% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.1% ( -2.25) | 71.89% ( 2.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.08% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.05% Total : 25.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| 2 | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| 16 | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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