SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 48%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | SPAL |
48% ( 0.34) | 25.6% ( -0.21) | 26.4% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% ( 0.75) | 52.05% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% ( 0.64) | 73.78% ( -0.64) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( 0.47) | 21.69% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.16% ( 0.7) | 54.84% ( -0.7) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.3) | 34.52% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.76% ( 0.32) | 71.24% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.33% Total : 48% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
