SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Benevento |
43.71% ( 0.02) | 27.48% ( 0.06) | 28.8% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.39% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.13% ( -0.26) | 57.87% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.41% ( -0.2) | 78.58% ( 0.21) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.11) | 26.28% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.6% ( -0.15) | 61.4% ( 0.15) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.2) | 35.72% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.51% ( -0.21) | 72.49% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bari | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.71% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 28.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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