SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Frosinone |
35.63% ( -0.05) | 27.51% ( 0.01) | 36.86% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% ( -0.05) | 56.39% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% ( -0.04) | 77.41% ( 0.04) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( -0.06) | 30.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.68% ( -0.07) | 66.32% ( 0.06) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0) | 29.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.59% | 65.4% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bari | Draw | Frosinone |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.63% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | BariBari | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 61 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 54 |
| 5 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 52 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Pisa | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | AscoliAscoli | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 46 |
| 10 | VeneziaVenezia | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
| 11 | Palermo | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 44 |
| 13 | Como | 35 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
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