SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Pisa |
30.48% ( 1.1) | 27.88% ( 0.66) | 41.63% ( -1.76) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.33% ( -1.99) | 58.67% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.78% ( -1.57) | 79.22% ( 1.58) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( -0.23) | 34.86% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.4% ( -0.24) | 71.6% ( 0.24) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( -1.86) | 27.76% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.66% ( -2.45) | 63.34% ( 2.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ternana | Draw | Pisa |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.71)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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