Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and SPAL.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ascoli 2-1 Ternana
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Cittadella | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Genoa | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: SPAL 1-3 Reggina
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Modena | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | SPAL | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Perugia | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | SPAL |
51.57% ( 3.09) | 25.87% ( -0.32) | 22.55% ( -2.76) |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( -1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% ( -1.01) | 56.12% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% ( -0.83) | 77.19% ( 0.83) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 0.93) | 21.82% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.96% ( 1.4) | 55.04% ( -1.4) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( -3.13) | 40.24% ( 3.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.13% ( -2.97) | 76.87% ( 2.97) |
| Score Analysis |
Ascoli 51.56%
SPAL 22.55%
Draw 25.87%
| Ascoli | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.86) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.92)2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.6)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.56% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.27)Other @ 1.32% Total : 22.55% |
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Form Guide
Last Game: Ascoli 2-1 Ternana
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Last Game: Venezia 2-3 Ascoli
Sunday, August 7 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Sunday, August 7 at 4.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Benevento
Friday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 4-1 Ternana
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 0-1 Ascoli
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Monday, April 25 at 11.30am in Serie B
Monday, April 25 at 11.30am in Serie B
Last Game: SPAL 1-3 Reggina
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie B
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Benevento 1-2 SPAL
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: SPAL 3-0 Frosinone
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 SPAL
Monday, April 25 at 5pm in Serie B
Monday, April 25 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: SPAL 1-1 Crotone
Monday, April 18 at 11.30am in Serie B
Monday, April 18 at 11.30am in Serie B
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Serie B Table
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | RegginaReggina | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Genoa | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | BariBari | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | SudtirolSudtirol | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 32 |
| 6 | Pisa | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 30 |
| 7 | Parma | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Ternana | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Modena | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Palermo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
| 13 | Brescia | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | SPALSPAL | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
| 15 | BeneventoBenevento | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 23 |
| 16 | Como | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 |
| 17 | Cittadella | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 23 |
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 20 |
| 19 | Perugia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 20 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 18 |
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