Cagliari are one of only two teams, along with Lecce, that have yet to beat any opponents placed inside the top half.
With five draws and 10 defeats from such games so far, they could be picked off by Roma, who will overcome any hangover from Thursday's defeat to record six Serie A wins on the spin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw has a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cagliari has a probability of 10.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.85%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Cagliari win it is 0-1 (4.1%).
-0.57) 
0.34) 
