Cagliari are one of only two teams, along with Lecce, that have yet to beat any opponents placed inside the top half. With five draws and 10 defeats from such games so far, they could be picked off by Roma, who will overcome any hangover from Thursday's defeat to record six Serie A wins on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Cagliari
70.47% ( -0.5)	18.7% ( 0.24)	10.84% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 43.56% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.93% (

-0.3)

47.07% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.69% (

-0.28)

69.32% (

0.29)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88% (

-0.23)

12.13% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.3% (

-0.48)

37.71% (

0.49)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.58% (

0.31)

50.43% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.05% (

0.22)

84.95% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Roma 70.46%

Cagliari 10.84%

Draw 18.7%

Roma	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 70.46%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.56% Total : 18.7%	0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 10.84%