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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
CL

Roma
vs.
Cagliari

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Roma
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Genoa
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We say: Roma 2-0 Cagliari

Cagliari are one of only two teams, along with Lecce, that have yet to beat any opponents placed inside the top half. With five draws and 10 defeats from such games so far, they could be picked off by Roma, who will overcome any hangover from Thursday's defeat to record six Serie A wins on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Roma win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw has a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cagliari has a probability of 10.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.85%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Cagliari win it is 0-1 (4.1%).

Result
RomaDrawCagliari
70.97% (-0.57000000000001 -0.57) 18.46% (0.336 0.34) 10.57% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 43.4% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23% (-0.773 -0.77)46.77% (0.777 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97% (-0.729 -0.73)69.03% (0.733 0.73)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.11% (-0.372 -0.37)11.9% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (-0.802 -0.8)37.22% (0.806 0.81)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.26% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)50.74% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.83% (-0.022 -0.02)85.17% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Roma 70.96%
    Cagliari 10.57%
    Draw 18.46%
RomaDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 13.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 12.85% (0.23 0.23)
3-0 @ 9.71% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.17% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.095 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 70.96%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.146 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.195 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.46%
0-1 @ 4.1% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.96% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 10.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Roma
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Roma
Sunday, March 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Como
Sunday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Monza
Monday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Porto
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Genoa
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Cagliari
Saturday, February 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Parma
Sunday, February 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Lazio
Monday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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