SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Como |
64.48% ( -0.24) | 20.79% ( 0.14) | 14.73% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( -0.39) | 47% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% ( -0.36) | 69.24% ( 0.36) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% ( -0.19) | 13.84% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.79% ( -0.38) | 41.21% ( 0.38) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.96% ( -0.1) | 44.04% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.85% ( -0.08) | 80.15% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 64.47% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.79% | 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.73% |
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