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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
RL

Empoli
0 - 1
Roma

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soule (1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Empoli 0-2 Roma

Following four successive home wins, Roma can boost their modest away record by beating lowly Empoli. Even if they make numerous changes, the visitors simply boast too much talent for their injury-hit hosts to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
15.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 24.51% (0.149 0.15) 59.73% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 40.18% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.85% (-0.571 -0.57)59.14% (0.57 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-0.445 -0.45)79.58% (0.444 0.44)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.06% (-0.425 -0.42)49.93% (0.424 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.39% (-0.298 -0.3)84.61% (0.295 0.3)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (-0.256 -0.26)19.73% (0.255 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (-0.417 -0.42)51.76% (0.417 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.76%
    Roma 59.73%
    Draw 24.5%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 15.76%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 15.99% (0.22 0.22)
0-2 @ 12.97% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.045 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Empoli (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 26 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 0-5 Atalanta
Sunday, February 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Empoli
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan
Saturday, February 8 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-1 Empoli
Sunday, February 2 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Como
Sunday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Monza
Monday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-2 Porto
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Roma
Sunday, February 16 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Roma
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Europa League


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