SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
44.29% ( 0.83) | 28.16% ( 0.15) | 27.54% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% ( -0.95) | 60.76% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% ( -0.72) | 80.82% ( 0.72) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( -0.01) | 27.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.22% ( -0.01) | 62.78% ( 0.01) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( -1.33) | 38.32% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.92% ( -1.3) | 75.08% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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