SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
25.72% ( -0.07) | 26.19% ( 0.18) | 48.09% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% ( -0.72) | 54.78% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( -0.6) | 76.09% ( 0.6) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.43% ( -0.46) | 36.57% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.64% ( -0.47) | 73.36% ( 0.47) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( -0.35) | 22.8% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.49% ( -0.52) | 56.51% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.72% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 48.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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