SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Juventus |
46.38% ( -0.22) | 26.18% ( 0.02) | 27.44% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.31% ( 0.03) | 53.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.82% ( 0.03) | 75.17% ( -0.03) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -0.09) | 23.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.03% ( -0.13) | 56.97% ( 0.13) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( 0.17) | 34.55% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.72% ( 0.19) | 71.27% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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