SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Torino had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Atalanta BC |
32.29% ( -0.05) | 27.53% ( 0) | 40.18% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.1% ( -0.03) | 56.9% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.18% ( -0.02) | 77.81% ( 0.02) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( -0.05) | 32.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.82% ( -0.05) | 69.17% ( 0.05) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( 0.01) | 27.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.71% ( 0.01) | 63.29% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.29% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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