SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
74.36% ( 1.04) | 16.13% ( -0.62) | 9.51% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.22% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( 1.63) | 39.42% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.24% ( 1.69) | 61.76% ( -1.68) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.93% ( 0.66) | 9.07% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.15% ( 1.56) | 30.85% ( -1.56) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.24) | 48.07% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.72% ( 0.18) | 83.28% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
| 2-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.22)5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.81% Total : 74.34% | 1-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.13% | 0-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.33% Total : 9.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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