SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Empoli |
40.76% ( -0.05) | 26.32% ( -0.01) | 32.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( 0.07) | 52.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.25% ( 0.06) | 73.75% ( -0.06) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0) | 25.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.13% ( 0) | 59.87% ( -0) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( 0.08) | 29.73% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.2% ( 0.09) | 65.79% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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