SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
21.95% ( 1.34) | 22.38% ( 0.45) | 55.67% ( -1.78) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.3) | 42.56% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.29) | 64.96% ( 0.3) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 1.1) | 33.2% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.19% ( 1.2) | 69.81% ( -1.19) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( -0.68) | 15.16% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.24% ( -1.3) | 43.75% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.95% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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