SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 44.43%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Leganes |
44.43% ( 0.02) | 30.6% ( -0.01) | 24.98% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.44% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.92% ( 0.03) | 69.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.36% ( 0.02) | 86.64% ( -0.02) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( 0.03) | 31.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.24% ( 0.03) | 67.75% ( -0.03) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.57% ( 0.01) | 45.43% ( -0.01) |
