SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Leganes |
38.86% ( 0.01) | 29.6% ( -0) | 31.54% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.85% ( 0) | 64.16% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.71% ( 0) | 83.3% ( -0) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( 0.01) | 32.09% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.44% ( 0.01) | 68.56% ( -0.01) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% ( -0.01) | 37.04% ( 0.01) |
