Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 41.65%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.34%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
