SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Leganes |
44.65% ( 1.8) | 28.31% ( -0.48) | 27.03% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 44.12% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.51% ( 1) | 61.48% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% ( 0.74) | 81.35% ( -0.74) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( 1.45) | 27.48% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.02% ( 1.83) | 62.98% ( -1.83) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( -0.54) | 39.15% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.13% ( -0.51) | 75.87% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.76% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.42)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 27.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 42 |
| 2 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 35 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Levante | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Burgos | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | ElcheElche | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Oviedo | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 31 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 |
| 15 | Eldense | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 | Albacete | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Villarreal II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Huesca | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 23 |
| 19 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 21 |
| 21 | CartagenaCartagena | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 18 |
| 22 | Amorebieta | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 16 |
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