SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.54%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Amorebieta |
45.23% ( 1.04) | 30.03% ( 0.16) | 24.74% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 38.5% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.3% ( -0.99) | 67.69% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.27% ( -0.67) | 85.73% ( 0.67) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( 0.06) | 30.22% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.61% ( 0.07) | 66.38% ( -0.08) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.17% ( -1.71) | 44.82% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.21% ( -1.4) | 80.79% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Amorebieta |
| 1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 45.23% | 0-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.49) 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.02% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | EibarEibar | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Levante | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | TenerifeTenerife | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
| 10 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | ElcheElche | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Burgos | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Eldense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 | Albacete | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Amorebieta | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 10 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
| 21 | Huesca | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
| 22 | CartagenaCartagena | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
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