SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club de Ferrol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Amorebieta |
42.9% ( -0.17) | 27.99% ( 0.08) | 29.11% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.13% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.46% ( -0.24) | 59.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.11% ( -0.19) | 79.89% ( 0.19) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -0.21) | 27.49% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37% ( -0.27) | 62.99% ( 0.27) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( -0.05) | 36.38% ( 0.06) |
