SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.3%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
47.6% ( -0.01) | 29.49% ( 0.02) | 22.91% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.26% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.79% ( -0.08) | 67.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.6% ( -0.05) | 85.4% ( 0.05) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( -0.04) | 28.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.45% ( -0.05) | 64.55% ( 0.05) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.67% ( -0.06) | 46.33% ( 0.06) |
