SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 44.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Burgos |
44.17% ( 0.2) | 29.57% ( 0.08) | 26.26% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 40.55% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.3% ( -0.34) | 65.7% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.62% ( -0.24) | 84.38% ( 0.24) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( -0.06) | 29.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( -0.08) | 65.87% ( 0.07) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.44) | 42.24% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( -0.38) | 78.64% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 15.23% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.42% Total : 29.56% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.13% Total : 26.26% |
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