SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Burgos |
40.18% ( 0.12) | 28.19% ( -0.01) | 31.63% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( 0.03) | 59.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( 0.02) | 79.81% ( -0.02) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( 0.08) | 28.95% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.17% ( 0.1) | 64.83% ( -0.1) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( -0.06) | 34.43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.86% ( -0.06) | 71.13% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 32 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 27 |
| 8 | TenerifeTenerife | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Levante | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 27 |
| 10 | ElcheElche | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Oviedo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 25 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 25 |
| 13 | Eldense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | MirandesMirandes | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
| 15 | Burgos | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
| 16 | Albacete | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
| 17 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 19 | Huesca | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 20 | Amorebieta | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 14 |
| 22 | CartagenaCartagena | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
