SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Hercules had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Hercules win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hercules | Draw | Burgos |
30.56% ( -1.45) | 28.29% ( -0.13) | 41.15% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.93% ( 0.11) | 60.07% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.71% ( 0.08) | 80.29% ( -0.08) |
| Hercules Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% ( -1.01) | 35.55% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.68% ( -1.06) | 72.32% ( 1.06) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( 0.96) | 28.7% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.47% ( 1.18) | 64.53% ( -1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hercules | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.56% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 11 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
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