SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
58.75% ( -0.6) | 24.06% ( 0.23) | 17.19% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 43.94% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( -0.3) | 55.61% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( -0.25) | 76.77% ( 0.25) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( -0.34) | 18.76% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.86% ( -0.56) | 50.14% ( 0.57) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.08% ( 0.29) | 45.91% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.35% ( 0.23) | 81.65% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.74% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.2% |
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