SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club de Ferrol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Tenerife |
42.49% ( 1.2) | 28.55% ( -1.07) | 28.95% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.55% ( 2.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.52% ( 3.32) | 61.48% ( -3.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% ( 2.4) | 81.35% ( -2.4) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 2.33) | 28.64% ( -2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.55% ( 2.82) | 64.44% ( -2.83) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( 1.74) | 37.56% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.65% ( 1.67) | 74.34% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.18)Other @ 1.61% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( -1.42)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.39)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.18)Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 42 |
| 2 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 35 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Levante | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Burgos | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | ElcheElche | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Oviedo | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 31 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 29 |
| 15 | Eldense | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
| 16 | Albacete | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Villarreal II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Huesca | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 23 |
| 19 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 21 |
| 21 | CartagenaCartagena | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 18 |
| 22 | Amorebieta | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 16 |
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