SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Cartagena |
43.77% ( -0.02) | 28.03% ( -0) | 28.2% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.56% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.98% ( 0.02) | 60.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.75% ( 0.02) | 80.25% ( -0.02) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% | 27.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.32% | 62.68% ( -0) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% ( 0.04) | 37.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.85% ( 0.04) | 74.15% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.47% 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.76% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 28.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Levante | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 49 |
| 4 | Granada | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 47 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 47 |
| 6 | Albacete | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Burgos | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Leganes | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 38 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 37 |
| 10 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Real Oviedo | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 33 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 33 |
| 16 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 32 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 30 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 28 |
| 20 | Malaga | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
